Click on the description under each project to display a longer summary.
Using statistical and computational methods for analyzing public opinion surveys, administrative data, and textual evidence, I ask how and why issues in public finance, and especially public debt, periodically move to the top of the policy agenda, as well as what consequences fiscal policy-making has had on ordinary people’s welfare, attitudes, and aspirations.
The project begins with an exploration of budget deficits and public debt in political discourse since the 1980s, paying particular attention to how the problem of debt is defined, to whom responsibility for debt is attributed, and what policy options are included or excluded from the set of solutions up for debate. I apply methods from computational text analysis and natural language processing to an original corpus consisting of thousands of pages of text from Congressional debates, Presidential budget messages, and think tank press releases.
The second empirical chapter looks more closely at the federal budget-making process, especially the (often contradictory) pressures emanating from public opinion and party activists, organized political and economic interests, and the institutional rules governing public finance. The analysis centers on the 17-day government shutdown in October 2013, a crucial case for understanding the dynamics that cause policy dysfunction.
The final empirical chapter asks how debates over public finance and the implementation of austerity measures have influenced inter-group conflict with respect to race, ethnicity, and nativity. Through parallel, quantitative case studies of the United States and United Kingdom, I demonstrate that fiscal austerity measures contributed to the growing politics of xenophobia and ethnonationalism since the global financial crisis. An abbreviated version of this chapter was included in the edited volume Mapping Populism: Approaches and Methods edited by Amin Ron and Majia Nadesan (2020). The chapter can be downloaded here.The COVID-19 pandemic only increases the pressure on tenants across the country, especially in communities of color, who were already burdened by high rents and facing displacement. Through a series of white papers and reports, Gianpaolo Baoicchi, Marnie Brady, H. Jacob Carlson, Sara Duvisac, and I lay out major threats to housing security today as well as policy solutions that could prevent an even more severe crisis. This includes a report on how the pandemic may exacerbate the financializaiton of housing, as private equity firms and corporate landlords position themselves to exploit the crisis and expand their presence in the multi-family rental housing market.